Financial Cycles

Financial Cycles
Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Total Pages : 42
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9781455227037
ISBN-13 : 145522703X
Rating : 4/5 (03X Downloads)

Book Synopsis Financial Cycles by : Mr.Marco Terrones

Download or read book Financial Cycles written by Mr.Marco Terrones and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-04-01 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of financial cycles using a large database covering 21 advanced countries over the period 1960:1-2007:4. Specifically, we analyze cycles in credit, house prices, and equity prices. We report three main results. First, financial cycles tend to be long and severe, especially those in housing and equity markets. Second, they are highly synchronized within countries, particularly credit and house price cycles. The extent of synchronization of financial cycles across countries is high as well, mainly for credit and equity cycles, and has been increasing over time. Third financial cycles accentuate each other and become magnified, especially during coincident downturns in credit and housing markets. Moreover, globally synchronized downturns tend to be associated with more prolonged and costly episodes, especially for credit and equity cycles. We discuss how these findings can guide future research on various aspects of financial market developments.


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